Posted by: minr | October 29, 2008

jus a lil analysis – a story to be told


 

First Round MAUMOON Wathan edhey group  
  8-Oct-08 # of votes % # of votes % TOTAL
Total 71,731 41.20% 102,367 58.80% 174,098
   i know they were not one group at this time ;)    
             
Second Round MAUMOON Wathan edhey group  
  28-Oct-08 # of votes % # of votes % TOTAL
Total 82,121 45.79% 97,222 54.21% 179,343

 

it is amazing how over 10,000 more people voted for maumoon the second round when all oposition except Umar united.

this 10,390 votes is likely to be made up of  all or most of the 2421 people who voted for umar the first round + 5145 people who during the first round voted for hassan, gasim, or ibra + all or half of the 5245 people who did not vote at all during the first round.

there clearly are 5145 people who voted for gasim/hassan/ibra during the first round but gave their vote to maumoon in the second round.

Following is a comparision of individual atoll comparisions from the first round and the second round of the 2008 election, just to understand a bit more where the 10,000 more votes were secured by maumoon.

Note: “MDP Coalition – 1st round” on the graph is actually MDP coalition + hassan/gasim/ibra

the coalition did not get any additional votes the second round [the orange line is below or on level with the yellow in all areas]. maumoon & PA did some magic in HA, HDh, Sh (drastic), R (amazing), Lh, K, ADh, M, F, Dh, Th, GDh & S. the only thing i can understand is that in S (seenu) many would would have been indifferent to maumoon as long as they did not have an adduan to vote for (i maybe wrong). but what happened in atolls like Sh and ADh and GDh?

i know, no need to ponder over this. but this is facinating ey?! tells a story in itself


Responses

  1. Nice piece of analysis.

  2. totally awesome… didn’t know somebody had actually took time doing this… good stuff!!


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